About this newsletter
I’m a British journalist. With my new weekly newsletter I aim to deliver entertaining, incisive analysis of British horseracing - and the best betting tips around.
To a 1 point level stake over the past six years, I have made a profit of more than 380 points, and I’ve been up in 11 of the past 12 seasons. In one jumps’ season alone, I showed a profit of more than 110 points. Every one of my 17 bookmaker accounts has now either been closed or heavily restricted, hence my decision to write a newsletter rather than take on the old enemy every week myself. For many years I’ve written a private newsletter for friends and family, but now I’ve decided to move it to Substack. If you’re enjoying it, please share with your friends.
This was my assessment of the October 2021 Cesarewitch at Newmarket, in my newsletter sent out more than five weeks before the race:
Willie Mullins will probably win the Cesarewitch with one of his giant string. Last year I put up Great White Shark at 14-1 as a ‘max bet’ and he romped it, backed into 9-2 favourite. That was relatively easy as the horse was Mullins’ only entry in the race and he ticked lots of boxes. This year is much more difficult because the canny Irishman has no less than thirteen entries and I have no idea which horses will and will not run. So I am looking elsewhere for value...
Dual purpose horses have a good record in the race and jumps trainer Nicky Henderson has just one entry in the race: BUZZ. This gelding is very well handicapped now on the Flat compared with his jumps rating of 155, recorded when he was second in the Grade 1 Aintree Hurdle on his latest start. Buzz goes on most ground and is Henderson’s only entry in the race so I am hoping this race is very much his target for the autumn before another hurdles campaign. Take the 16-1 with Skybet or Betfred paying five places.
Buzz won the 2021 Cesarewitch at odds of 8-1, showing a 20 points profit to the recommend bet.
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